Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU): What is the Risk Factor?

Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE:BTU) saw an upside of 7.10% to $25.03 after adding $1.66 on Wednesday. The 5-day average trading volume is 1,929,306 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $25.01 in the past week and touched a new high 4 times within the past 5 days. An average of 2,701,457 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 2,965,551.

BTU’s 1-month performance is 15.51% or $3.53 on its low of $21.49 reached on 08/28/23. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $17.71 and high of $32.89, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 02/15/23. YTD, BTU has lost -5.26% or -$1.47 and has reached a new high 5 times. However, the current price is down -23.90% from the 52-week high price.

Insider Transactions

BTU stock investors last saw insider trading activity on Mar 03.Elliott Investment Management (10% Owner) most recently sold 257,296 shares at $28.40 per share on Mar 03. This transaction cost the insider $7,307,206. EVP and CFO, Spurbeck Mark, sold 21,070 shares at a price of $25.88 on Feb 24. Then, on Feb 24, CAO and Corporate Secretary Jarboe Scott T. sold 11,573 shares at a price of $25.88 per share. This transaction amounted to $299,509.

Valuation Metrics

BTU stock has a beta of 1.05. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 0.61 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 0.99, with the price to cash flow ratio at 1.42.

Peabody Energy Corp.’s quick ratio for the period ended June 29 was 1.82, with the current ratio over the same period at 2.17. As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending June 29 was 0.10, while the total debt to equity was 0.10. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 29.81%. The trailing 12-month EBITDA margin is 38.28% while for the period ending June 29, Peabody Energy Corp.’s operating margin was 27.58%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $1.69 billion against revenue of $4.98 billion.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Net income and sales went down compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Net income shrunk -128.52% to $179.2 million, while revenue of $268.5 million was -49.83% off the previous quarter. Analysts expected BTU to announce $1.72 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted $1.15, representing a -33.10% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $341.4 million. BTU stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that total liabilities totaled 2.3 billion, with total debt at $346.2 million. Shareholders hold equity totaling $132.8 million.

Let’s look briefly at Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 26 September was 70.26% to suggest the stock is trending Overbought, with historical volatility in this time period at 41.90%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $23.65, reflecting a +6.42% or $1.50 change from its current price. BTU is currently trading +14.53% above its 20-day SMA, +13.07% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 by +16.45% and SMA200 by-13.35%.

Stochastic %K and %D was 77.33% and 65.39% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 0.85. The RSI (14) points at 66.79%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 98.44% with the period’s ATR at 0.81. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at 0.30 and 0.64 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Peabody Energy Corp. (NYSE: BTU), Jefferies upgraded it to a Buy rating. They previously had a Hold rating on the stock. Analysts offering their rating for BTU stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Overweight. Currently, 0 brokerage advisors rate BTU as a “sell,”, while 2 advise that investors “Hold.” 0 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 0 rates the stock as overweight while 3 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is BTU’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $25.00 and a high of $32.00, with their median price target at $28.00. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU) stock is $28.00.

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