Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) Shares: Cheap or Risky?

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) saw an upside of 1.12% to close Monday at $116.23 after adding $1.29 on the day. The 5-day average trading volume is 12,675,740 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $118.84 in the past week and touched a new high 1 time within the past 5 days. An average of 14,933,085 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 15,201,446.

XOM’s 1-month performance is 9.29% or $7.98 on its low of $108.42 reached on 08/29/23. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $83.89 and high of $119.92, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 04/28/23. YTD, XOM has achieved 5.38% or $5.93 and has reached a new high 9 times. However, the current price is down -3.08% from the 52-week high price.

Insider Transactions

XOM stock investors last saw insider trading activity on Sep 05.Talley Darrin L (Vice President) most recently sold 1,500 shares at $115.00 per share on Sep 05. This transaction cost the insider $172,500. Vice President, Talley Darrin L, sold 2,500 shares at a price of $116.11 on May 01. Then, on Feb 01, Vice President Talley Darrin L sold 2,500 shares at a price of $115.50 per share. This transaction amounted to $288,750.

Valuation Metrics

XOM stock has a beta of 1.05. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 1.29 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 2.34, with the price to cash flow ratio at 10.04.

Exxon Mobil Corp.’s quick ratio for the period ended June 29 was 1.09, with the current ratio over the same period at 1.48. As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending June 29 was 0.19, while the total debt to equity was 0.21. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 26.61%. The trailing 12-month EBITDA margin is 22.35% while for the period ending June 29, Exxon Mobil Corp.’s operating margin was 16.01%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $114.19 billion against revenue of $413.68 billion.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Net income and sales went down compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Net income shrunk -126.52% to $7.88 billion, while revenue of $11.43 billion was -45.05% off the previous quarter. Analysts expected XOM to announce $2.01 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted $1.94, representing a -3.50% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $16.15 billion. XOM stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that total liabilities totaled 156.25 billion, with total debt at $41.5 billion. Shareholders hold equity totaling $4.0 billion.

Let’s look briefly at Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 25 September was 56.97% to suggest the stock is trending Neutral, with historical volatility in this time period at 17.39%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $115.93, reflecting a -1.20% or -$1.41 change from its current price. XOM is currently trading +7.37% above its 20-day SMA, +5.57% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 by +15.15% and SMA200 by+11.89%.

Stochastic %K and %D was 40.84% and 50.41% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 2.13. The RSI (14) points at 58.51%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 53.48% with the period’s ATR at 2.16. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at -1.24 and -0.74 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), Redburn upgraded it to a Neutral rating. They previously had a Sell rating on the stock. Analysts offering their rating for XOM stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Overweight. Currently, 0 brokerage advisors rate XOM as a “sell,”, while 15 advise that investors “Hold.” 0 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 0 rates the stock as overweight while 10 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is XOM’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $105.00 and a high of $145.00, with their median price target at $120.00. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) stock is $122.86.

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