What Are The Risk Factors For Herbalife Ltd. (HLF)?

As of Friday close, Herbalife Ltd.’s (NYSE:HLF) stock was down -$0.22, moving down -1.50 percent to $14.49. The average number of shares traded per day over the past five days has been 1,787,480 shares. 3 times new highs have been achieved over the past 5 days, with a -$0.10 fall in that time frame. In the last twenty days, the average volume was 1,690,530, while in the previous 50 days, it was 1,616,990.

Since last month, HLF stock retreated -8.41%. Shares of the company fell to $14.15 on 09/08/23, the lowest level in the past month. A 52-week high of $22.73 was reached on 02/15/23 after having rallying from a 52-week low of $11.14. Since the beginning of this year, HLF’s stock price has dropped by -2.62% or -$0.39, and marked a new high 15 times. However, the stock has declined by -36.24% since its 52-week high.

HLF stock investors should be aware that Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) stock had its last reported insider trading activity 24 days ago on Aug 30. Montesino Ibelis, the EVP & Chief of Staff of the company, disposed of 6,604 shares for $14.99 on Aug 30. It resulted in a $98,994 divestment by the insider. Gratziani Stephan Paulo added 23,500 shares at an average price of $14.06 on May 08. The insider now owns 34,529 shares following the transaction. On Feb 22, Director Mulligan Donal L bought 15,000 shares at $19.32 apiece. The transaction was valued at $289,800.

Valuation Metrics

Right now, Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) has a P/E ratio of about 6.37. The stock’s beta is 1.18.

The latest dividend of $0.15 per share was paid out, remained unchanged from last year’s $0.15.

Financial Health

In the three months ended June 29, Herbalife Ltd.’s quick ratio stood at 0.70, while its current ratio was 1.10, showing that the company is not able to pay off its debt. On the profitability front, the trailing twelve-month gross margin is 77.20% percent. In the year ended June 29, EBITDA margin amounted to 12.52%, whereas operating margins totaled 8.80%. Based on annual data, HLF earned $4.03 billion in gross profit and brought in $5.2 billion in revenue.

A company’s management is another factor that investors consider when determining the profitability of an investment. In the past year, return on investment (ROI) was 31.90%. Return on equity (ROE) for the past 12 months was -18.10%.

In Herbalife Ltd.’s quarter-end financial report for June 29, it reported total debt of $2.33 billion. According to the earnings report, the company had a higher net income in the recent quarter than it did in the previous quarter. HLF’s revenue fell -5.99% to $1.25 billion during the quarter, while net income inched up to $1.31 billion. While analysts expected Herbalife Ltd. to report $0.69 quarterly earnings, the actual figure was $0.74 per share, beating the consensus estimate by 7.20%. During the quarter, the company generated $152.5 million in EBITDA. The liabilities of Herbalife Ltd. were 3.92 billion at the end of its most recent quarter ended June 29, and its total debt was $2.84 billion. The value of shareholders’ equity is $99.0 million.

Technical Picture

This quick technical analysis looks at Herbalife Ltd.’s (HLF) price momentum. With a historical volatility rate of 25.49%, the RSI 9-day stood at 42.16% on 22 September.

With respect to its five-day moving average, the current Herbalife Ltd. price is down by -0.69% percent or -$0.10. At present, HLF shares trade -5.79% below its 20-day simple moving average and -3.66% percent below its 100-day simple moving average. However, the stock is currently trading approximately +6.62% above its SMA50 and -17.25% below its SMA200.

Stochastic coefficient K was 27.89% and Stochastic coefficient D was 25.55%, while ATR was 0.52. Given the Stochastic reading of 27.42% for the 14-day period, the RSI (14) reading has been calculated as 43.20%. As of today, the MACD Oscillator reading stands at -0.04, while the 14-day reading stands at -0.01.

Analyst Ratings

DA Davidson launched its rating on Herbalife Ltd. (NYSE: HLF) to a Neutral in a note to investors on September 14, 2023. Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) has been rated Hold by analysts. According to 0 brokerage firms, HLF is a sell, and 4 firms recommend it is a Hold. There are 1 analyst who say the stock is underweight. A total of 0 analysts rate Herbalife Ltd. stock as buy, with 2 recommending it as overweight.

With a median target price of $17.00, the current consensus forecast for the stock is $12.00 – $33.00. Based on these forecasts, analysts predict Herbalife Ltd. (HLF) will achieve an average price target of $20.70.

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