Is YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) Stock Cheap Or Risky?

As of Friday close, YPF Sociedad Anonima’s (NYSE:YPF) stock was down -$0.25, moving down -1.91 percent to $12.87. The average number of shares traded per day over the past five days has been 1,840,780 shares. 3 times new highs have been achieved over the past 5 days, with a $0.16 gain in that time frame. In the last twenty days, the average volume was 1,968,425, while in the previous 50 days, it was 1,836,232.

Since last month, YPF stock retreated -14.37%. Shares of the company fell to $11.83 on 09/12/23, the lowest level in the past month. A 52-week high of $16.19 was reached on 07/24/23 after having rallying from a 52-week low of $5.99. Since the beginning of this year, YPF’s stock price has risen by 40.04% or $3.68, and marked a new high 14 times. However, the stock has declined by -20.51% since its 52-week high.

Valuation Metrics

Right now, YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) has a P/E ratio of about 5.85. The stock’s beta is 1.57. Besides these, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.12, the price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.62.

The latest dividend of $0.1380 per share was paid out, which is 72.5% more than last year’s $0.08.

Financial Health

In the three months ended June 29, YPF Sociedad Anonima’s quick ratio stood at 0.60, while its current ratio was 1.00, showing that the company is not able to pay off its debt. According to company report, the long-term debt-to-equity ratio for the quarter ending June 29 was 0.59, and the total debt-to-equity ratio was 0.75. On the profitability front, the trailing twelve-month gross margin is 22.10% percent. In the year ended June 29, EBITDA margin amounted to 30.05%, whereas operating margins totaled 7.20%. Based on annual data, YPF earned $5.07 billion in gross profit and brought in $18.76 billion in revenue.

A company’s management is another factor that investors consider when determining the profitability of an investment. In the past year, return on investment (ROI) was 5.90%. Return on equity (ROE) for the past 12 months was 14.30%.

In YPF Sociedad Anonima’s quarter-end financial report for June 29, it reported total debt of $19.0 million. According to the earnings report, the company had a higher net income in the recent quarter than it did in the previous quarter. YPF’s revenue fell -76.94% during the quarter, while net income inched up to $18.76 billion. While analysts expected YPF Sociedad Anonima to report $1.07 quarterly earnings, the actual figure was $0.81 per share, beating the consensus estimate by -24.30%. During the quarter, the company generated $1.07 billion in EBITDA. The liabilities of YPF Sociedad Anonima were 15.72 billion at the end of its most recent quarter ended June 29, and its total debt was $2.13 trillion.

Technical Picture

This quick technical analysis looks at YPF Sociedad Anonima’s (YPF) price momentum. With a historical volatility rate of 32.49%, the RSI 9-day stood at 42.08% on 22 September.

With respect to its five-day moving average, the current YPF Sociedad Anonima price is up by +1.26% percent or $0.16. At present, YPF shares trade -12.39% below its 20-day simple moving average and +17.32% percent above its 100-day simple moving average. However, the stock is currently trading approximately -15.16% below its SMA50 and +65.42% above its SMA200.

Stochastic coefficient K was 39.66% and Stochastic coefficient D was 36.86%, while ATR was 0.62. Given the Stochastic reading of 42.29% for the 14-day period, the RSI (14) reading has been calculated as 41.36%. As of today, the MACD Oscillator reading stands at 0.07, while the 14-day reading stands at 0.02.

Analyst Ratings

Jefferies launched its rating on YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE: YPF) to a Hold in a note to investors on September 21, 2023. YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) has been rated Hold by analysts. According to 2 brokerage firms, YPF is a sell, and 4 firms recommend it is a Hold. There are 0 analysts who say the stock is underweight. A total of 0 analysts rate YPF Sociedad Anonima stock as buy, with 2 recommending it as overweight.

With a median target price of $14.25, the current consensus forecast for the stock is $8.30 – $17.10. Based on these forecasts, analysts predict YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) will achieve an average price target of $13.61.

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