Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) Shares: Cheap or Risky?

Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE:CCL) saw a downside of -0.67% to close Tuesday at $17.92 after subtracting -$0.12 on the day. The 5-day average trading volume is 25,057,080 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $18.05 in the past week and touched a new high 2 times within the past 5 days. An average of 33,297,996 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 44,721,336.

CCL’s 1-month performance is -7.15% or -$1.12 on its low of $17.08 reached on 08/04/23. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $6.11 and high of $19.55, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 07/05/23. YTD, CCL has achieved 122.33% or $9.86 and has reached a new high 28 times. However, the current price is down -8.34% from the 52-week high price.

Insider Transactions

CCL stock investors last saw insider trading activity on Feb 21.Bernstein David (CFO & CAO) most recently sold 107,119 shares at $11.08 per share on Feb 21. This transaction cost the insider $1,186,696.

Valuation Metrics

CCL stock has a beta of 2.39. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 1.31 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 3.86.

Carnival Corporation & plc’s quick ratio for the period ended May 30 was 0.50, with the current ratio over the same period at 0.50. As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending May 30 was 5.44, while the total debt to equity was 5.75.. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 42.00%. The trailing 12-month EBITDA margin is -12.28% while for the period ending May 30, Carnival Corporation & plc’s operating margin was -8.60%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $851.0 million against revenue of $12.17 billion.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending May 30 this year, Net income and sales went up compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Net income shrunk -350.61% to -$407.0 million, while revenue of -$693.0 million was -70.27% off the previous quarter. Analysts expected CCL to announce -$0.34 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted -$0.31, representing a 8.80% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $758.0 million. CCL stock balance sheet for the quarter ending May 30 shows that total liabilities totaled 46.01 billion, with total debt at $35.12 billion. Shareholders hold equity totaling $1.31 billion.

Let’s look briefly at Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 08 August was 51.49% to suggest the stock is trending Neutral, with historical volatility in this time period at 49.27%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $17.68, reflecting a -0.39% or -$0.07 change from its current price. CCL is currently trading -5.19% above its 20-day SMA, +105.27% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 by +62.91% and SMA200 by+133.33%.

Stochastic %K and %D was 35.21% and 27.25% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 0.68. The RSI (14) points at 54.01%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 47.19% with the period’s ATR at 0.70. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at -0.29 and -0.18 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE: CCL), Argus upgraded it to a Buy rating. They previously had a Hold rating on the stock. Analysts offering their rating for CCL stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Overweight. Currently, 4 brokerage advisors rate CCL as a “sell,”, while 5 advise that investors “Hold.” 1 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 2 rates the stock as overweight while 11 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is CCL’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $7.00 and a high of $25.00, with their median price target at $17.00. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) stock is $17.07.

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