Analyzing National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) By Technical Indicators


As of Friday close, National CineMedia Inc.’s (NASDAQ:NCMI) stock was down -$0.04, moving down -26.21 percent to $0.10. The average number of shares traded per day over the past five days has been 3,707,880 shares. 3 times new highs have been achieved over the past 5 days, with a -$0.0750 fall in that time frame. In the last twenty days, the average volume was 1,524,430, while in the previous 50 days, it was 1,087,684.

Since last month, NCMI stock retreated -58.50%. Shares of the company fell to $0.1008 on 03/17/23, the lowest level in the past month. A 52-week high of $2.71 was reached on 01/18/23 after having rallying from a 52-week low of $0.14. Since the beginning of this year, NCMI’s stock price has dropped by -52.27% or -$0.1150, and marked a new high 8 times. However, the stock has declined by -96.13% since its 52-week high.

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NCMI stock investors should be aware that National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) stock had its last reported insider trading activity 18 days ago on Feb 28. Lesinski Thomas F., the Chief Executive Officer of the company, disposed of 24,329 shares for $0.22 on Feb 28. It resulted in a $5,382 divestment by the insider. Felenstein Scott D sold 7,911 shares at an average price of $0.22 on Feb 28. The insider now owns 220,315 shares following the transaction. On Feb 23, President – Sales & Marketing Felenstein Scott D sold 40,193 shares at $0.23 apiece. The transaction was valued at $9,256.

Valuation Metrics

The latest dividend of $0.03 per share was paid out, remained unchanged from last year’s $0.03. On Monday May 9 2022, a $0.02 dividend decrease was announced.

Financial Health

In the three months ended September 29, National CineMedia Inc.’s quick ratio stood at 0.50, while its current ratio was 0.50, showing that the company is not able to pay off its debt. On the profitability front, the trailing twelve-month gross margin is 46.50% percent. In the year ended September 29, operating margins totaled 0.50%. Based on annual data, NCMI earned $37.7 million in gross profit and brought in $114.6 million in revenue.

A company’s management is another factor that investors consider when determining the profitability of an investment. In the past year, return on investment (ROI) was -9.40%. Return on equity (ROE) for the past 12 months was 4.80%.

In National CineMedia Inc.’s quarter-end financial report for September 29, it reported total debt of $901.0 million against cash and short-term investments of $0.3 million. According to the earnings report, the company had a lower net income in the recent quarter than it did in the previous quarter. NCMI’s revenue rose 41.83% to $67.1 million during the quarter, while net income inched up to $54.5 million. While analysts expected National CineMedia Inc. to report -$0.12 quarterly earnings, the actual figure was -$0.13 per share, beating the consensus estimate by -8.30%. During the quarter, the company generated $5.9 million in EBITDA. The liabilities of National CineMedia Inc. were 1.23 billion at the end of its most recent quarter ended September 29, and its total debt was $1.14 billion. The value of shareholders’ equity is $82.0 million.

Technical Picture

This quick technical analysis looks at National CineMedia Inc.’s (NCMI) price momentum. With a historical volatility rate of 161.89%, the RSI 9-day stood at 10.29% on 17 March.

With respect to its five-day moving average, the current National CineMedia Inc. price is down by -41.67% percent or -$0.0750. At present, NCMI shares trade -57.63% below its 20-day simple moving average and -74.01% percent below its 100-day simple moving average. However, the stock is currently trading approximately -64.25% below its SMA50 and -91.46% below its SMA200.

Stochastic coefficient K was 11.86% and Stochastic coefficient D was 14.57%, while ATR was 0.0257. Given the Stochastic reading of 2.82% for the 14-day period, the RSI (14) reading has been calculated as 15.73%. As of today, the MACD Oscillator reading stands at -0.0424, while the 14-day reading stands at -0.0594.

Analyst Ratings

B. Riley Securities reiterated its a Neutral rating on National CineMedia Inc. (NASDAQ: NCMI) in a note to investors. The analysts firm has however raised their price target to $0.25, representing a possible 80.0% increase in the stock price. National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) has been rated Hold by analysts. According to 0 brokerage firms, NCMI is a sell, and 2 firms recommend it is a Hold. There are 0 analysts who say the stock is underweight. A total of 0 analysts rate National CineMedia Inc. stock as buy, with 0 recommending it as overweight.

With a median target price of $0.25, the current consensus forecast for the stock is $0.25 – $0.25. Based on these forecasts, analysts predict National CineMedia Inc. (NCMI) will achieve an average price target of $0.25.


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