Is Vacasa Inc. (VCSA) Stock Cheap Or Risky?


As of Thursday close, Vacasa Inc.’s (NASDAQ:VCSA) stock was down -$1.61, moving down -44.97 percent to $1.97. The average number of shares traded per day over the past five days has been 3,678,856 shares. 2 times new highs have been achieved over the past 5 days, with a -$1.30 fall in that time frame. In the last twenty days, the average volume was 2,137,904, while in the previous 50 days, it was 2,458,916.

Since last month, VCSA stock retreated -38.44%. Shares of the company fell to $2.16 on 11/10/22, the lowest level in the past month. Since the beginning of this year, VCSA’s stock price has dropped by -76.32% or -$6.09, and marked a new high 3 times. However, the stock has declined by -82.09% since its 52-week high.

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VCSA stock investors should be aware that Vacasa Inc. (VCSA) stock had its last reported insider trading activity 63 days ago on Sep 09. Breon Eric, the Director of the company, disposed of 289,673 shares for $4.03 on Sep 09. It resulted in a $1,167,382 divestment by the insider. Breon Eric sold 143,564 shares at an average price of $4.05 on Sep 08. The insider now owns 857,562 shares following the transaction. On Sep 07, Director Breon Eric sold 4,600 shares at $4.00 apiece. The transaction was valued at $18,400.

Valuation Metrics

Right now, Vacasa Inc. (VCSA) has a P/E ratio of about 0.95. Besides these, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 0.75, the price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.07, and the price-to-cash flow ratio of 8.14 may also be considered.

Financial Health

In the three months ended September 29, Vacasa Inc.’s quick ratio stood at 0.90, while its current ratio was 0.90, showing that the company is not able to pay off its debt. On the profitability front, the trailing twelve-month gross margin is 52.30% percent. In the year ended September 29, operating margins totaled -14.60%. Based on annual data, VCSA earned $448.31 million in gross profit and brought in $889.06 million in revenue.

A company’s management is another factor that investors consider when determining the profitability of an investment. In the past year, return on investment (ROI) was 16.80%. Return on equity (ROE) for the past 12 months was -110.80%.

According to the earnings report, the company had a higher net income in the recent quarter than it did in the previous quarter. VCSA’s revenue rose 100.0% to $247.26 million during the quarter, while net income inched up to $310.35 million. While analysts expected Vacasa Inc. to report $0.07 quarterly earnings, the actual figure was $0.04 per share, beating the consensus estimate by -42.90%. During the quarter, the company generated -$9.9 million in EBITDA. The liabilities of Vacasa Inc. were 1.64 billion at the end of its most recent quarter ended September 29, and its total debt was $34.3 million. The value of shareholders’ equity is $436.54 million.

Technical Picture

This quick technical analysis looks at Vacasa Inc.’s (VCSA) price momentum. With a historical volatility rate of 249.31%, the RSI 9-day stood at 24.92% on 10 November.

With respect to its five-day moving average, the current Vacasa Inc. price is down by -36.88% percent or -$1.30. At present, VCSA shares trade -35.42% below its 20-day simple moving average and -26.22% percent below its 100-day simple moving average. However, the stock is currently trading approximately -44.30% below its SMA50 and -66.39% below its SMA200.

Stochastic coefficient K was 48.20% and Stochastic coefficient D was 68.97%, while ATR was 0.44. Given the Stochastic reading of 3.60% for the 14-day period, the RSI (14) reading has been calculated as 31.00%. As of today, the MACD Oscillator reading stands at -0.29, while the 14-day reading stands at -0.24.

Analyst Ratings

Vacasa Inc. downgraded its rating on Vacasa Inc. (NASDAQ: VCSA) to a Neutral in a note to investors on November 10, 2022. The analysts firm previously had an Overweight rating on the stock.Vacasa Inc. (VCSA) has been rated Overweight by analysts. According to 0 brokerage firms, VCSA is a sell, and 5 firms recommend it is a Hold. There are 0 analysts who say the stock is underweight. A total of 0 analysts rate Vacasa Inc. stock as buy, with 4 recommending it as overweight.

With a median target price of $5.00, the current consensus forecast for the stock is $2.40 – $5.00. Based on these forecasts, analysts predict Vacasa Inc. (VCSA) will achieve an average price target of $4.40.


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