Vistra Corp. (VST) Shares: Are They Risky Or Cheap?


Vistra Corp. (NYSE:VST) finished Thursday with a subtraction of -$0.8 to close at $23.26, a downside of -3.33 percent. An average of 2,762,866 shares of common stock have been traded in the last five days. There was a fall of -$2.13 in the past week, and it reached a new high 31 times over the past 12 months. The last 20 days have seen an average of 3,916,177 shares traded, while the 50-day average volume stands at 3,827,601.

VST stock has decreased by -1.68% in the last month. The company shares reached their 1-month lowest point of $23.12 on 09/23/22. With the stock rallying to its 52-week high on 06/07/22, shares of the company touched a low of $16.51 and a high of $27.39 in 52 weeks. It has reached a new high 15 times so far this year and achieved 5.67% or $0.41 in price. In spite of this, the price is down -15.08% from the 52-week high.

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Insider Transactions

4 days have passed since Vistra Corp. (VST) last reported insider trading activity. HUDSON SCOTT A, who is EVP & President Vistra Retail, most recently acquired $60,000 shares at $25.55 per share on Sep 19. In this transaction, the insider spent $1,532,700. SVP and Controller, DOBRY ELIZABETH CHRISTINE, disposed of 28,834 shares at a price of $25.81 on Aug 15. The insider now owns more than $744,148 worth of shares. Prior to that, CEO MORGAN CURTIS A went on to Sale 236,008 shares at $25.52 each on May 24. An amount of $6,022,452 was transacted.

Valuation Metrics

Vistra Corp. (VST) stock’s beta is 0.90. Other valuation ratios to consider include the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio at 0.91, the price-to-book (PB) ratio at 3.05.

The company’s most recent quarterly dividend payment was $0.1840 a share, representing a up of 3.95% from $0.1770 last year. Its latest increase dividend $0.0070 reported on Thursday July 28 2022.

Financial Health

The quick ratio of Vistra Corp. for the three months ended June 29 was 1.00, and the current ratio was 1.00, indicating that the company is able to meet its debt obligations. Further, the company has a long term debt to equity ratio of 3.59 and a total debt to equity ratio of 4.20 for the quarter ending June 29. Its gross profit as reported stood at -$1.51 billion compared to revenue of $12.08 billion.

For investors, determining the potential profitability of the investment also depends on the performance of the company’s management. In the past 12 months, Vistra Corp.’s return on assets was -3.10%.

Earnings Surprise

For the three-month period that ended June 29, Vistra Corp. had $11.95 billion in total debt. In the quarter under review, the net income was down than the previous quarter. The company posted a net income of -$1.4 billion in the quarter, while revenues were grew 102.57%. The analyst consensus anticipated Vistra Corp.’s latest quarter earnings to come in at $0.5 per share, but it turned out to be -$3.27, a -754.00% surprise. For the quarter, EBITDA amounted to -$1.17 billion. Shareholders own equity worth $416.35 million.

Technical Picture

From a technical analysis perspective, let’s take a brief look at Vistra Corp. (VST) price momentum. RSI 9-day as of the close on 22 September was 28.05%, suggesting the stock is oversold, with historical volatility in this time frame at 26.91%.

As of today, VST’s price is $24.44 -8.42% or -$2.13 from its 5-day moving average. VST is currently trading -9.63% lower than its 20-day SMA and -6.12% lower than its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is +1.09% above the SMA50 and +10.75% above the SMA200.

The stochastic %K and %D were 5.20% and 24.94%, respectively, and the average true range (ATR) was 0.67. With the 14-day stochastic at 2.20% and the average true range at 0.67, the RSI (14) stands at 35.40%. The stock has reached -0.91 on the 9-day MACD Oscillator while the 14-day reading was at -0.97.

Analyst Ratings

BofA Securities reiterated its a Buy rating on Vistra Corp. (NYSE: VST), but raised their price target to $23, indicating a potential price decrease of -1.13% for the stock. The consensus rating for Vistra Corp. (VST) among analysts is Buy. According to current brokerage recommendations, 0 brokerage firms advise that investors sell VST, while 1 suggest investors hold. There are 0 analysts who rate the stock as underweight. The stock is rated overweight by 0 analysts, while 10 others rate it as a “buy”.

What is VST’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts predict a range of price targets between $30.00 and $35.00, with a median target of $33.00. Taking a look at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts for Vistra Corp. (VST) stock is $32.70.


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