Natera Inc. (NTRA) Shares: Are They Risky Or Cheap?


Natera Inc. (NASDAQ:NTRA) traded with a subtraction of -$2.27 to $46.24 on Thursday, a downside of -4.68 percent. An average of 1,113,785 shares of common stock have been traded in the last five days. There was a fall of -$4.33 in the past week, and it reached a new high 1 time over the past 12 months. The last 20 days have seen an average of 1,047,981 shares traded, while the 50-day average volume stands at 1,257,275.

NTRA stock has decreased by -1.12% in the last month. The company shares reached their 1-month lowest point of $46.10 on 09/22/22. With the stock rallying to its 52-week high on 01/04/22, shares of the company touched a low of $26.10 and a high of $129.09 in 52 weeks. It has reached a new high 2 times so far this year and lost -48.06% or -$47.03 in price. In spite of this, the price is down -64.18% from the 52-week high.

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Insider Transactions

62 days have passed since Natera Inc. (NTRA) last reported insider trading activity. Chapman Steven Leonard, who is CEO AND PRESIDENT, most recently acquired $886 shares at $46.26 per share on Jul 22. In this transaction, the insider spent $40,986. CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER, Schueren Robert Alan, disposed of 572 shares at a price of $46.26 on Jul 22. The insider now owns more than $26,461 worth of shares. Prior to that, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Brophy Michael Burkes went on to Sale 454 shares at $46.26 each on Jul 22. An amount of $21,002 was transacted.

Valuation Metrics

Natera Inc. (NTRA) stock’s beta is 1.33. Other valuation ratios to consider include the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio at 6.79, the price-to-book (PB) ratio at 10.55.

Financial Health

The quick ratio of Natera Inc. for the three months ended March 30 was 3.50, and the current ratio was 3.60, indicating that the company is able to meet its debt obligations. Further, the company has a long term debt to equity ratio of 0.63 and a total debt to equity ratio of 0.74 for the quarter ending March 30. Its gross profit as reported stood at $307.07 million compared to revenue of $625.49 million.

For investors, determining the potential profitability of the investment also depends on the performance of the company’s management. In the past 12 months, Natera Inc.’s return on assets was -48.40%.

Earnings Surprise

For the three-month period that ended March 30, Natera Inc. had $547.35 million in cash and short-term investments compared to $281.02 million in total debt. In the quarter under review, the net income was up than the previous quarter. The company posted a net income of -$145.15 million in the quarter, while revenues of -$138.6 million were grew 20.06%. The analyst consensus anticipated Natera Inc.’s latest quarter earnings to come in at -$1.48 per share, but it turned out to be -$1.45, a 2.00% surprise. For the quarter, EBITDA amounted to -$137.12 million. Shareholders own equity worth $96.96 million.

Technical Picture

From a technical analysis perspective, let’s take a brief look at Natera Inc. (NTRA) price momentum. RSI 9-day as of the close on 21 September was 34.42%, suggesting the stock is Neutral, with historical volatility in this time frame at 39.94%.

As of today, NTRA’s price is $48.25 -8.55% or -$4.33 from its 5-day moving average. NTRA is currently trading -10.96% lower than its 20-day SMA and +31.99% higher than its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is +14.83% above the SMA50 and -46.26% below the SMA200.

The stochastic %K and %D were 20.98% and 27.43%, respectively, and the average true range (ATR) was 2.73. With the 14-day stochastic at 3.41% and the average true range at 2.78, the RSI (14) stands at 40.87%. The stock has reached -1.53 on the 9-day MACD Oscillator while the 14-day reading was at -1.75.

Analyst Ratings

Credit Suisse launched coverage on Natera Inc. (NASDAQ: NTRA) in its analyst report released on August 25, 2022. The firm assigned the stock an Outperform rating. The consensus rating for Natera Inc. (NTRA) among analysts is Buy. According to current brokerage recommendations, 0 brokerage firms advise that investors sell NTRA, while 1 suggest investors hold. There are 0 analysts who rate the stock as underweight. The stock is rated overweight by 1 analysts, while 11 others rate it as a “buy”.

What is NTRA’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts predict a range of price targets between $70.00 and $117.00, with a median target of $76.50. Taking a look at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts for Natera Inc. (NTRA) stock is $84.50.


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