Is Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) A Risky Investment?


Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE:AMBP) finished Wednesday with a subtraction of -$0.32 to close at $5.43, a downside of -5.57 percent. An average of 2,836,880 shares of common stock have been traded in the last five days. There was a fall of -$0.21 in the past week, and it reached a new high 2 times over the past 12 months. The last 20 days have seen an average of 2,193,400 shares traded, while the 50-day average volume stands at 1,655,150.

AMBP stock has decreased by -15.29% in the last month. The company shares reached their 1-month lowest point of $5.42 on 09/21/22. With the stock rallying to its 52-week high on 01/31/22, shares of the company touched a low of $5.35 and a high of $10.55 in 52 weeks. It has reached a new high 3 times so far this year and lost -39.87% or -$3.60 in price. In spite of this, the price is down -48.53% from the 52-week high.

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Valuation Metrics

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) has a trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio at 0.71, the price-to-book (PB) ratio at 9.87.

Financial Health

The quick ratio of Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. for the three months ended June 29 was 1.10, and the current ratio was 1.40, indicating that the company is able to meet its debt obligations. Further, the company has a long term debt to equity ratio of 10.20 and a total debt to equity ratio of 10.34 for the quarter ending June 29. Its gross profit as reported stood at $616.0 million compared to revenue of $4.05 billion.

For investors, determining the potential profitability of the investment also depends on the performance of the company’s management. In the past 12 months, Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.’s return on assets was -0.10%.

Earnings Surprise

The analyst consensus anticipated Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.’s latest quarter earnings to come in at $0.08 per share, but it turned out to be $0.11, a 37.50% surprise. For the quarter, EBITDA amounted to $72.0 million.

Technical Picture

From a technical analysis perspective, let’s take a brief look at Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) price momentum. RSI 9-day as of the close on 21 September was 30.70%, suggesting the stock is Neutral, with historical volatility in this time frame at 68.60%.

As of today, AMBP’s price is $5.80 -3.72% or -$0.21 from its 5-day moving average. AMBP is currently trading -17.60% lower than its 20-day SMA and -20.38% lower than its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is -6.54% below the SMA50 and -42.36% below the SMA200.

The stochastic %K and %D were 22.91% and 32.72%, respectively, and the average true range (ATR) was 0.30. With the 14-day stochastic at 0.77% and the average true range at 0.29, the RSI (14) stands at 35.10%. The stock has reached -0.25 on the 9-day MACD Oscillator while the 14-day reading was at -0.32.

Analyst Ratings

Wells Fargo downgraded Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (NYSE: AMBP) to a an Equal weight rating in its most recent analyst report. Previously, the stock was rated as an Overweight. The consensus rating for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) among analysts is Overweight. According to current brokerage recommendations, 0 brokerage firms advise that investors sell AMBP, while 3 suggest investors hold. There are 0 analysts who rate the stock as underweight. The stock is rated overweight by 1 analysts, while 5 others rate it as a “buy”.

What is AMBP’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts predict a range of price targets between $6.50 and $10.00, with a median target of $7.50. Taking a look at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) stock is $7.89.


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