Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR) Shares: Are They Risky Or Cheap?

KOSK Stock
KOSK Stock

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE:ABR) finished Wednesday with a subtraction of -$0.27 to close at $14.09, a downside of -1.88 percent. An average of 2,074,800 shares of common stock have been traded in the last five days. There was a fall of -$1.02 in the past week, and it reached a new high 19 times over the past 12 months. The last 20 days have seen an average of 1,823,130 shares traded, while the 50-day average volume stands at 2,035,854.

ABR stock has decreased by -6.38% in the last month. The company shares reached their 1-month lowest point of $14.09 on 09/21/22. With the stock rallying to its 52-week high on 01/04/22, shares of the company touched a low of $12.18 and a high of $20.74 in 52 weeks. It has reached a new high 2 times so far this year and lost -23.09% or -$4.23 in price. In spite of this, the price is down -32.06% from the 52-week high.

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Valuation Metrics

Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR) has a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.85. The stock’s beta is 1.81. Other valuation ratios to consider include the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio at 2.62, the price-to-book (PB) ratio at 1.07.

The company has a payout ratio of 70.40%. The company’s most recent quarterly dividend payment was $0.39 a share, representing a up of 2.63% from $0.38 last year. Its latest increase dividend $0.01 reported on Friday July 29 2022.

Financial Health

Further, the company has a long term debt to equity ratio of 6.67 and a total debt to equity ratio of 6.67 for the quarter ending March 30. Its gross profit as reported stood at $423.77 million compared to revenue of $799.24 million.

For investors, determining the potential profitability of the investment also depends on the performance of the company’s management. In the past 12 months, Arbor Realty Trust Inc.’s return on assets was 2.00%.

Earnings Surprise

For the three-month period that ended March 30, Arbor Realty Trust Inc. had $7.97 billion in total debt. The analyst consensus anticipated Arbor Realty Trust Inc.’s latest quarter earnings to come in at $0.47 per share, but it turned out to be $0.4, a -14.90% surprise. For the quarter, EBITDA amounted to $106.33 million. At the end of the quarter ending March 30, Arbor Realty Trust Inc.’s stock balance sheet showed total debt was $14.33 billion. Shareholders own equity worth $170.3 million.

Technical Picture

From a technical analysis perspective, let’s take a brief look at Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR) price momentum. RSI 9-day as of the close on 21 September was 30.71%, suggesting the stock is Neutral, with historical volatility in this time frame at 31.70%.

As of today, ABR’s price is $14.52 -6.75% or -$1.02 from its 5-day moving average. ABR is currently trading -8.03% lower than its 20-day SMA and -19.58% lower than its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is +1.88% above the SMA50 and -19.12% below the SMA200.

The stochastic %K and %D were 29.40% and 32.73%, respectively, and the average true range (ATR) was 0.39. With the 14-day stochastic at 0.00% and the average true range at 0.40, the RSI (14) stands at 35.99%. The stock has reached -0.40 on the 9-day MACD Oscillator while the 14-day reading was at -0.36.

Analyst Ratings

Piper Sandler launched coverage on Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: ABR) in its analyst report released on April 25, 2022. The firm assigned the stock an Overweight rating.

What is ABR’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts predict a range of price targets between $16.00 and $21.00, with a median target of $18.50. Taking a look at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts for Arbor Realty Trust Inc. (ABR) stock is $18.60.


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