What Can We Learn From Green Plains Inc. (GPRE)’s Valuation Ratios?

Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) finished Friday with an addition of $0.02 to close at $36.30, an upside of 0.06 percent. An average of 769,860 shares of common stock have been traded in the last five days. There was a gain of $1.66 in the past week, and it reached a new high 33 times over the past 12 months. The last 20 days have seen an average of 821,665 shares traded, while the 50-day average volume stands at 1,014,738.

GPRE stock has increased by 13.51% in the last month. The company shares reached their 1-month lowest point of $31.13 on 09/23/21. With the stock rallying to its 52-week high on 08/11/21, shares of the company touched a low of $11.91 and a high of $38.53 in 52 weeks. It has reached a new high 33 times so far this year and achieved 175.63% or $23.13 in price. In spite of this, the price is down -5.79% from the 52-week high.

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Insider Transactions

122 days have passed since Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) last reported insider trading activity. Kolomaya Paul E, who is Chief Accounting Officer, most recently acquired $1,500 shares at $33.50 per share on Jun 23. In this transaction, the insider spent $50,250. Chief Legal and Admin Officer, MAPES MICHELLE, disposed of 1,800 shares at a price of $34.25 on Jun 15. The insider now owns more than $61,650 worth of shares. Prior to that, Director Peterson Brian went on to Sale 35,000 shares at $32.48 each on Jun 07. An amount of $1,136,821 was transacted.

Valuation Metrics

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.00 for the broader industry and 13.81 for the sector. In the last five years, Green Plains Inc.’s PE ratio has ranged between 317.50 and 13.13. The stock’s beta is 1.71. Other valuation ratios to consider include the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio at 0.92, the price-to-book (PB) ratio at 1.91.

Green Plains Inc. pays a $0.48 dividend per share annually. It offers a dividend yield of 1.32%. The company’s most recent quarterly dividend payment took place on Jun. 14, and it was $0.12 a share, without any change from last year. Its latest increase dividend $0.04 reported on Thursday August 13 2015.

The quick ratio of Green Plains Inc. for the three months ended June 29 was 2.00, and the current ratio was 2.80, indicating that the company is able to meet its debt obligations. Further, the company has a long term debt to equity ratio of 0.62 and a total debt to equity ratio of 0.83 for the quarter ending June 29. Green Plains Inc.’s EBITDA margin for the year ending June 29 is -1.37%, while its operating margin for the same period stands at 0.60%. Its gross profit as reported stood at $85.43 million compared to revenue of $1.92 billion.

For investors, determining the potential profitability of the investment also depends on the performance of the company’s management. In the past 12 months, Green Plains Inc.’s return on assets was -4.60%. For the broader industry, ROE averaged 8.64 over the past year.

Earnings Surprise

For the three-month period that ended June 29, Green Plains Inc. had $538.62 million in total debt. In the quarter under review, the net income was up than the previous quarter. The company posted a net income of $9.74 million in the quarter, while revenues of -$6.55 million were grew 184.29%. The analyst consensus anticipated Green Plains Inc.’s latest quarter earnings to come in at -$0.21 per share, but it turned out to be $0.2, a 195.20% surprise. For the quarter, EBITDA amounted to $53.77 million. Shareholders own equity worth $48.19 million.

Technical Picture

From a technical analysis perspective, let’s take a brief look at Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) price momentum. RSI 9-day as of the close on 22 October was 62.57%, suggesting the stock is Neutral, with historical volatility in this time frame at 24.90%.

As of today, GPRE’s price is $35.90 +4.79% or $1.66 from its 5-day moving average. GPRE is currently trading +15.53% higher than its 20-day SMA and +10.81% higher than its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is -5.10% below the SMA50 and +92.57% above the SMA200.

The stochastic %K and %D were 68.56% and 67.73%, respectively, and the average true range (ATR) was 1.59. With the 14-day stochastic at 72.21% and the average true range at 1.67, the RSI (14) stands at 57.96%. The stock has reached 0.60 on the 9-day MACD Oscillator while the 14-day reading was at 0.97.

Analyst Ratings

Evercore ISI launched coverage on Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ: GPRE) in its analyst report released on July 15, 2021. The firm assigned the stock a an In-line rating. The consensus rating for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) among analysts is Buy. According to current brokerage recommendations, 0 brokerage firms advise that investors sell GPRE, while 0 suggest investors hold. There are 0 analysts who rate the stock as underweight. The stock is rated overweight by 0 analysts, while 9 others rate it as a “buy”.

What is GPRE’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts predict a range of price targets between $40.00 and $55.00, with a median target of $44.00. Taking a look at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) stock is $45.89.


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