Is UBS Group AG (UBS) A Risky Investment?

UBS Group AG (NYSE:UBS) trading with an addition of $0.31 to $17.06 on Thursday, an upside of 1.86 percent. An average of 1,501,929 shares of common stock have been traded in the last five days. There was a gain of $0.65 in the past week, and it reached a new high 31 times over the past 12 months. The last 20 days have seen an average of 2,163,837 shares traded, while the 50-day average volume stands at 1,763,853.

UBS stock has increased by 1.09% in the last month. The company shares reached their 1-month lowest point of $15.22 on 09/20/21. With the stock rallying to its 52-week high on 08/13/21, shares of the company touched a low of $10.93 and a high of $17.20 in 52 weeks. It has reached a new high 19 times so far this year and achieved 19.91% or $2.96 in price. In spite of this, the price is down -0.80% from the 52-week high.

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Valuation Metrics

UBS Group AG (UBS) has a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.17, which compares with the 16.80 for the broader industry and 12.85 for the sector. In the last five years, UBS Group AG’s PE ratio has ranged between 79.13 and 6.710. The stock’s beta is 1.18. Other valuation ratios to consider include the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio at 6.25, the price-to-book (PB) ratio at 1.00.

UBS Group AG pays a $0.12 dividend per share annually. It offers a dividend yield of 0.70%. The company has a payout ratio of 8.00%. The company’s most recent quarterly dividend payment took place on Apr. 15, and it was $0.37 a share, representing a down of -97.3 from $0.73 last year. Its dividend has been increased for the last 1 consecutive years with the latest decrease dividend $0.36 reported on Wednesday January 27 2021.

UBS Group AG will next go ex-dividend on 18-Apr. The next dividend payment UBS Group AG will make is expected to be $0.0.

Further, the company has a long term debt to equity ratio of 3.00 and a total debt to equity ratio of 3.00 for the quarter ending June 29. Its gross profit as reported stood at $5.86 billion compared to revenue of $8.81 billion.

For investors, determining the potential profitability of the investment also depends on the performance of the company’s management. In the past 12 months, UBS Group AG’s return on assets was 0.70%, compared to 0.4% over the last five years. Meanwhile, the return on equity (ROE) for the past 12 months has been 12.80% and the 5-year average holds at 7.2%. For the broader industry, ROE averaged 11.10 over the past year.

Earnings Surprise

The analyst consensus anticipated UBS Group AG’s latest quarter earnings to come in at $0.44 per share, but it turned out to be $0.55, a 25.00% surprise. At the end of the quarter ending June 29, UBS Group AG’s stock balance sheet showed total debt was $367.19 billion.

Technical Picture

From a technical analysis perspective, let’s take a brief look at UBS Group AG (UBS) price momentum. RSI 9-day as of the close on 13 October was 74.50%, suggesting the stock is Overbought, with historical volatility in this time frame at 12.62%.

As of today, UBS’s price is $16.78 +3.95% or $0.65 from its 5-day moving average. UBS is currently trading +2.09% higher than its 20-day SMA and +6.95% higher than its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is +2.95% above the SMA50 and +21.12% above the SMA200.

The stochastic %K and %D were 86.99% and 84.18%, respectively, and the average true range (ATR) was 0.30. With the 14-day stochastic at 97.12% and the average true range at 0.29, the RSI (14) stands at 66.17%. The stock has reached 0.34 on the 9-day MACD Oscillator while the 14-day reading was at 0.51.

Analyst Ratings

RBC Capital Mkts upgraded UBS Group AG (NYSE: UBS) to a an Outperform rating in its most recent analyst report. Previously, the stock was rated as a a Sector perform.The consensus rating for UBS Group AG (UBS) among analysts is Overweight. According to current brokerage recommendations, 1 brokerage firm advise that investors sell UBS, while 8 suggest investors hold. There are 0 analysts who rate the stock as underweight. The stock is rated overweight by 1 analysts, while 13 others rate it as a “buy”.

What is UBS’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts predict a range of price targets between $16.19 and $22.62, with a median target of $18.85. Taking a look at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts for UBS Group AG (UBS) stock is $19.12.


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