YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF): Keep paying attention to its insider activity

YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF) saw a downside of -2.72% to $4.47 after subtracting -$0.12 on Wednesday. The 5-day average trading volume is 1,378,713 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $4.96 in the past week. An average of 1,612,313 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 1,592,561.

YPF’s 1-month performance is -15.31% or -$0.95 on its low of $4.45 reached on 10/13/21. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $2.98 and high of $5.86, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 09/13/21. YTD, YPF has lost -2.34% or -$0.22. However, the current price is down -23.81%% from the 52-week high price.

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Valuation Metrics

YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) has a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.90 for the broader industry and 19.58 for the sector. The company’s PE ratio for the last five years has touched a high of 75.45 and a low of 3.219. YPF stock has a beta of 2.00. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 0.38 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 0.24, with the price to cash flow ratio at 2.10.

YPF Sociedad Anonima’s quick ratio for the period ended June 29 was 0.70, with the current ratio over the same period at 1.00 meaning that YPF stock is not able to fulfill its debt obligations. As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending June 29 was 0.84, while the total debt to equity was 1.04. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 13.60%. The trailing 12-month EBITDA margin is 22.53% while for the period ending June 29; YPF Sociedad Anonima’s operating margin was 6.20%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $610.23 million against revenue of $9.5 billion.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Net income and sales went up compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Net income shrunk -1.41% to $17.47 billion, while revenue of $0.0 was 100.0% off the previous quarter. Analysts expected YPF to announce $0.48 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted -$1.22, representing a -354.20% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $1.14 billion. YPF stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that total liabilities totaled 14.92 billion, with total debt at $759.7 billion

Technical Picture

Let’s look briefly at YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 12 October was 31.44% to suggest the stock is trending Neutral, with historical volatility in this time period at 32.98%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $4.69, reflecting a -6.96% or -$0.34 change from its current price. YPF is currently trading -16.36% above its 20-day SMA, -0.56% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 and SMA200 by +4.31% and -8.86% respectively.

Stochastic %K and %D was 31.28% and 49.41% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 0.20. The RSI (14) points at 37.69%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 5.83% with the period’s ATR at 0.22. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at -0.12 and -0.06 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE: YPF), Credit Suisse downgraded it to an Underperform rating. They previously had a Neutral rating on the stock. Analysts offering their rating for YPF stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Underweight. Currently, 7 brokerage advisors rate YPF as a “sell,”, while 3 advise that investors “Hold.” 1 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 0 rates the stock as overweight while 1 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is YPF’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $1.30 and a high of $15.32, with their median price target at $5.10. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) stock is $5.96.


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