Medical Properties Trust Inc. (MPW) Shares: Cheap or Risky?

Medical Properties Trust Inc. (NYSE:MPW) saw an upside of 0.55% to close Tuesday at $20.05 after adding $0.11 on the day. The 5-day average trading volume is 3,708,900 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $20.29 in the past week. An average of 4,579,890 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 4,569,788.

MPW’s 1-month performance is -3.79% or -$1.01 on its low of $19.45 reached on 10/06/21. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $17.13 and high of $22.82, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 04/26/21. YTD, MPW has lost -7.99% or -$1.74. However, the current price is down -12.12%% from the 52-week high price.

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Insider Transactions

On Aug 02, 72 days have gone by since the last insider trading activity for Medical Properties Trust Inc. (MPW). Stewart Michael G (Director) most recently sold 4,800 shares at $20.88 per share on Aug 02. This transaction cost the insider $100,224. Chairman, President & CEO, Aldag Edward K JR, sold 710,000 shares at a price of $21.21 on Mar 30. Then, on Mar 17, VP, Controller & CAO Hanna James Kevin sold 33,000 shares at a price of $21.32 per share. This transaction amounted to $703,560.

Valuation Metrics

The company’s PE ratio for the last five years has touched a high of 28.08 and a low of 5.131. MPW stock has a beta of 0.51. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 8.53 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 1.43.

Medical Properties Trust Inc. pays an annual dividend of $1.12 per share. Its dividend yield is 5.59% and the payout ratio is 118.60%. MPW paid $0.28 a share compared with prior rate of $0.28, down 0.0% from last year’s. The company has boosted its dividend for the last 1 consecutive years with the latest dividend increase of $0.01 reported on Thursday February 18 2021. Measured over the last 3 years, the Dividend has been growing by 12.50% yearly.

It is projected that Medical Properties Trust Inc.’s next ex-dividend date will be on 10-Dec. MPW is expected to distribute $0.28 as its next dividend.

As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending June 29 was 1.22, while the total debt to equity was 1.22. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 97.50%. while for the period ending June 29; Medical Properties Trust Inc.’s operating margin was 66.90%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $499.71 million against revenue of $1.25 billion.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Medical Properties Trust Inc.’s cash and short-term investments amounted to $219.56 million against total debt of $10.05 billion. Net income and sales went up compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Analysts expected MPW to announce $0.28 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted $0.19, representing a -32.10% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $242.83 million. MPW stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that, with total debt at $10.05 billion. Shareholders hold equity totaling $595.7 million

Technical Picture

Let’s look briefly at Medical Properties Trust Inc. (MPW) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 12 October was 46.04% to suggest the stock is trending Neutral, with historical volatility in this time period at 18.74%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $19.90, reflecting a +0.96% or $0.19 change from its current price. MPW is currently trading -2.62% above its 20-day SMA, -4.61% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 and SMA200 by -2.24% and -7.73% respectively.

Stochastic %K and %D was 27.64% and 24.59% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 0.39. The RSI (14) points at 45.88%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 36.59% with the period’s ATR at 0.40. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at -0.06 and -0.30 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Medical Properties Trust Inc. (NYSE: MPW), RBC Capital Mkts upgraded it to an Outperform rating. They previously had a Sector perform rating on the stock. Analysts offering their rating for MPW stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Overweight. Currently, 0 brokerage advisors rate MPW as a “sell,”, while 3 advise that investors “Hold.” 0 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 0 rates the stock as overweight while 9 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is MPW’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $21.50 and a high of $27.00, with their median price target at $23.00. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Medical Properties Trust Inc. (MPW) stock is $23.54.


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