Cheniere Energy Inc. (LNG): What is the Risk Factor?

Cheniere Energy Inc. (AMEX:LNG) saw an upside of 0.88% to close Tuesday at $102.52 after adding $0.89 on the day. The 5-day average trading volume is 1,416,180 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $103.95 in the past week. An average of 2,003,015 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 1,498,046.

LNG’s 1-month performance is 12.87% or $14.47 on its low of $84.19 reached on 09/20/21. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $45.51 and high of $104.53, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 10/04/21. YTD, LNG has achieved 70.78% or $42.49. However, the current price is down -1.93%% from the 52-week high price.

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Insider Transactions

On Jun 16, 119 days have gone by since the last insider trading activity for Cheniere Energy Inc. (LNG). Stephenson Aaron D. (SVP, Operations) most recently sold 20,000 shares at $87.74 per share on Jun 16. This transaction cost the insider $1,754,734. Director, KILPATRICK DAVID B, sold 5,603 shares at a price of $75.58 on Mar 16. Then, on Mar 16, Director KILPATRICK DAVID B sold 4,397 shares at a price of $75.50 per share. This transaction amounted to $331,974.

Valuation Metrics

Cheniere Energy Inc. (LNG) has a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.90 for the broader industry and 19.63 for the sector. The company’s PE ratio for the last five years has touched a high of 113.10 and a low of 10.39. LNG stock has a beta of 1.49. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 2.52 while the price to cash flow ratio at 83.13.

It is projected that Cheniere Energy Inc.’s next ex-dividend date will be on 2-Nov-2021. LNG is expected to distribute $0.33 as its next dividend.

Cheniere Energy Inc.’s quick ratio for the period ended June 29 was 0.90, with the current ratio over the same period at 1.00 meaning that LNG stock is not able to fulfill its debt obligations. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 33.00%. The trailing 12-month EBITDA margin is 40.88% while for the period ending June 29; Cheniere Energy Inc.’s operating margin was 12.80%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $3.87 billion against revenue of $9.36 billion.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Net income and sales went down compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Analysts expected LNG to announce $0.94 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted -$1.3, representing a -238.30% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $424.0 million. LNG stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that total liabilities totaled 34.4 billion, with total debt at $32.12 billion. Shareholders hold equity totaling $253.61 million

Technical Picture

Let’s look briefly at Cheniere Energy Inc. (LNG) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 12 October was 71.13% to suggest the stock is trending Overbought, with historical volatility in this time period at 24.98%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $100.54, reflecting a +2.07% or $2.08 change from its current price. LNG is currently trading +15.79% above its 20-day SMA, +22.08% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 and SMA200 by +20.75% and +77.06% respectively.

Stochastic %K and %D was 80.56% and 77.71% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 2.94. The RSI (14) points at 68.27%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 86.08% with the period’s ATR at 2.86. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at 1.06 and 2.64 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Cheniere Energy Inc. (AMEX: LNG), Raymond James upgraded it to a Strong buy rating. They previously had an Outperform rating on the stock. Analysts offering their rating for LNG stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Buy. Currently, 0 brokerage advisors rate LNG as a “sell,”, while 1 advise that investors “Hold.” 0 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 2 rates the stock as overweight while 21 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is LNG’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $61.00 and a high of $130.00, with their median price target at $108.00. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Cheniere Energy Inc. (LNG) stock is $107.73.


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