Capital One Financial Corporation (COF): What is the Risk Factor?

Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE:COF) saw an upside of 0.88% to close Tuesday at $167.65 after adding $1.47 on the day. The 5-day average trading volume is 1,876,640 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $171.78 in the past week. An average of 2,640,405 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 2,777,106.

COF’s 1-month performance is 5.49% or $12.09 on its low of $153.33 reached on 09/20/21. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $70.52 and high of $177.95, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 08/13/21. YTD, COF has achieved 70.23% or $68.80. However, the current price is down -5.79%% from the 52-week high price.

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Insider Transactions

On Sep 27, 16 days have gone by since the last insider trading activity for Capital One Financial Corporation (COF). Sanjiv Yajnik (President, Financial Services) most recently sold 451 shares at $170.00 per share on Sep 27. This transaction cost the insider $76,670. Senior Advisor and Corp Secy, FINNERAN JOHN G JR, sold 20,000 shares at a price of $165.37 on Sep 23. Then, on Sep 02, Chief Enterprise Srvcs Officer LaPrade,III Frank G. sold 11,668 shares at a price of $161.24 per share. This transaction amounted to $1,881,384.

Valuation Metrics

The company’s PE ratio for the last five years has touched a high of 48.94 and a low of 3.883. COF stock has a beta of 1.76. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 2.97 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 1.30, with the price to cash flow ratio at 6.19.

Capital One Financial Corporation pays an annual dividend of $2.40 per share. Its dividend yield is 1.43% and the payout ratio is 4.00%. COF’s most recent quarterly dividend payment was made on Aug. 20, when it paid $0.60 a share compared with prior rate of $0.40, up 33.33% from last year’s. The company has boosted its dividend for the last 2 consecutive years with the latest dividend increase of $0.20 reported on Wednesday July 28 2021. Measured over the last 3 years, the Dividend has been growing by -37.50% yearly.

It is projected that Capital One Financial Corporation’s next ex-dividend date will be on 9-Nov. COF is expected to distribute $0.40 as its next dividend.

As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending June 29 was 0.61, while the total debt to equity was 0.61 while for the period ending June 29; Capital One Financial Corporation’s operating margin was 86.70%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $22.91 billion against revenue of $26.03 billion.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Net income and sales went down compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Analysts expected COF to announce $4.64 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted $7.62, representing a 64.20% surprise. COF stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that, with total debt at $37.9 billion. Shareholders hold equity totaling $446.11 million

Technical Picture

Let’s look briefly at Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 12 October was 55.97% to suggest the stock is trending Neutral, with historical volatility in this time period at 24.67%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $167.68, reflecting a -0.63% or -$1.07 change from its current price. COF is currently trading +8.59% above its 20-day SMA, +6.24% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 and SMA200 by +4.72% and +72.30% respectively.

Stochastic %K and %D was 67.38% and 73.89% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 4.39. The RSI (14) points at 54.77%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 61.69% with the period’s ATR at 4.41. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at 0.69 and 0.57 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE: COF), Seaport Global Securities launched coverage with a Neutral rating. Analysts offering their rating for COF stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Overweight. Currently, 0 brokerage advisors rate COF as a “sell,”, while 5 advise that investors “Hold.” 3 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 0 rates the stock as overweight while 18 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is COF’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $145.00 and a high of $214.00, with their median price target at $189.00. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) stock is $186.34.


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