What Analysts Say about the Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) Stock

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (NYSE:IVR) saw a downside of -2.76% to close Friday at $3.17 after subtracting -$0.09 on the day. The 5-day average trading volume is 3,137,080 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $3.29 in the past week. An average of 3,407,190 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 4,532,012.

IVR’s 1-month performance is 3.59% or $0.11 on its low of $3.02 reached on 09/20/21. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $2.62 and high of $4.60, with the stock’s rally to the 52-week high happening on 06/10/21. YTD, IVR has lost -6.21% or -$0.21. However, the current price is down -31.09%% from the 52-week high price.

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Insider Transactions

On Aug 17, 55 days have gone by since the last insider trading activity for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR). Day John (Director) most recently sold 21,418 shares at $3.11 per share on Aug 17. This transaction cost the insider $66,610. Director, LIENTZ JAMES R JR, sold 10,888 shares at a price of $3.42 on Dec 07. Then, on Nov 17, Director LOCKHART DENNIS P sold 35,400 shares at a price of $3.30 per share. This transaction amounted to $116,820.

Valuation Metrics

The company’s PE ratio for the last five years has touched a high of 123.29 and a low of 1.037. IVR stock has a beta of 1.33. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 5.35 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 0.87, with the price to cash flow ratio at 24.53.

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. pays an annual dividend of $0.36 per share. Its dividend yield is 11.36% and the payout ratio is 44.80%. IVR paid $0.09 a share compared with prior rate of $0.09, down 0.0% from last year’s. The company has boosted its dividend for the last 2 consecutive years with the latest dividend increase of $0.01 reported on Friday March 26 2021. Measured over the last 3 years, the Dividend has been growing by -65.03% yearly.

It is projected that Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.’s next ex-dividend date will be on 12-Jan. IVR is expected to distribute $0.09 as its next dividend.

As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending June 29 was 0.00, while the total debt to equity was 8.30. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 77.10%. while for the period ending June 29; Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.’s operating margin was 81.70%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $155.91 million against revenue of $280.17 million.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Net income and sales went up compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Analysts expected IVR to announce $0.1 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted $0.1, representing a 0.00% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $43.13 million. IVR stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that, with total debt at $7.87 billion. Shareholders hold equity totaling $289.68 million

Technical Picture

Let’s look briefly at Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 08 October was 48.89% to suggest the stock is trending Neutral, with historical volatility in this time period at 24.60%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $3.23, reflecting a -2.16% or -$0.07 change from its current price. IVR is currently trading +4.97% above its 20-day SMA, -12.67% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 and SMA200 by -8.91% and -1.25% respectively.

Stochastic %K and %D was 73.56% and 81.07% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 0.07. The RSI (14) points at 50.03%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 50.00% with the period’s ATR at 0.07. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at 0.02 and 0.05 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (NYSE: IVR), Jefferies launched coverage with an Underperform rating. Analysts offering their rating for IVR stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Underweight. Currently, 3 brokerage advisors rate IVR as a “sell,”, while 1 advise that investors “Hold.” 1 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 0 rates the stock as overweight while 0 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is IVR’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $2.75 and a high of $3.25, with their median price target at $3.00. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) stock is $3.00.


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