Stock on Demand This Week: Upstart Holdings Inc. (UPST)

Upstart Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:UPST) saw an upside of 1.25% to close Friday at $311.23 after adding $3.85 on the day. The 5-day average trading volume is 3,423,340 shares of the company’s common stock. It has gained $323.59 in the past week. An average of 4,927,535 shares of the company has been traded in the last 20 days, and the 50-day average volume stands at 5,562,520.

UPST’s 1-month performance is 7.47% or $36.90 on its low of $259.01 reached on 09/13/21. The company’s shares have touched a 52-week low of $22.61 and high of $346.54. YTD, UPST has achieved 663.75% or $270.48. However, the current price is down -10.19%% from the 52-week high price.

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Insider Transactions

On Oct 06, 5 days have gone by since the last insider trading activity for Upstart Holdings Inc. (UPST). Nicoll Alison (General Counsel) most recently sold 22,500 shares at $301.00 per share on Oct 06. This transaction cost the insider $6,772,498. Chief Executive Officer, Girouard Dave, sold 12,498 shares at a price of $309.10 on Oct 01. Then, on Oct 01, Chief Executive Officer Girouard Dave sold 125,000 shares at a price of $301.60 per share. This transaction amounted to $37,700,412.

Valuation Metrics

The company’s PE ratio for the last five years has touched a high of 1380.96 and a low of 162.10. UPST stock has a beta of 0.00. Moving on to other valuation ratios, the trailing price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 53.04 while the price-to-book (PB) in the most recent quarter is 33.32.

As well, the company’s long term debt to equity for the quarter ending June 29 was 0.01, while the total debt to equity was 0.01. In terms of profitability, the gross margin trailing 12 months is 85.90%. The trailing 12-month EBITDA margin is 6.02% while for the period ending June 29; Upstart Holdings Inc.’s operating margin was 16.00%. The firm’s gross profit as reported stood at $195.84 million against revenue of $233.42 million.

Earnings Surprise

For the quarterly period ending June 29 this year, Net income and sales went up compared to those figures reported in the previous quarter. Analysts expected UPST to announce $0.25 per share in earnings in its latest quarter, but it posted $0.62, representing a 148.00% surprise. EBITDA for the quarter stood at more than $38.28 million. UPST stock balance sheet for the quarter ending June 29 shows that total liabilities totaled 188.49 million, with total debt at $23.84 million. Shareholders hold equity totaling $77.77 million

Technical Picture

Let’s look briefly at Upstart Holdings Inc. (UPST) price momentum from a technical analysis perspective. The 9-day relative strength index as at close on 08 October was 57.40% to suggest the stock is trending Neutral, with historical volatility in this time period at 51.87%.

The stock’s 5-day moving average is $302.48, reflecting a +4.17% or $12.46 change from its current price. UPST is currently trading +15.07% above its 20-day SMA, +160.47% above its 100-day SMA. However, the stock’s current price level is away from the SMA50 and SMA200 by +151.26% and +550.56% respectively.

Stochastic %K and %D was 42.26% and 37.22% and the average true range (ATR) pointed at 19.72. The RSI (14) points at 60.48%, while the 14-day stochastic is at 46.02% with the period’s ATR at 19.31. The stock’s 9-day MACD Oscillator is pointing at 1.99 and -5.62 on the 14-day charts.

Analyst Ratings

In the most recent analyst report for Upstart Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: UPST), Citigroup downgraded it to a Neutral rating. They previously had a Buy rating on the stock. Analysts offering their rating for UPST stock have a consensus rating for the stock as Buy. Currently, 0 brokerage advisors rate UPST as a “sell,”, while 1 advise that investors “Hold.” 0 analysts have rated the stock as underweight. 1 rates the stock as overweight while 6 have offered a “buy” rating.

What is UPST’s price target for the next 12 months?

Analysts have a consensus price target ranging from a low of $160.00 and a high of $390.00, with their median price target at $313.50. Looking at these predictions, the average price target given by analysts is for Upstart Holdings Inc. (UPST) stock is $290.63.


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